Lucas Lim — Singapore Condo Data & Resale Analysis

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condo resale

A collection of 8 issues

Does The Price-To-Index Ratio Still Work When We Measure Percentage Return?

In the previous article, I tested a simple idea: Can we compare a condo's entry PSF against the URA regional price index to see whether the buyer was paying a stretched price? The first version was useful, but it had one obvious weakness. It looked heavily at dollar

Even 15 years of holding could not save buying at a lousy entry price (CCR Losers)

The CCR article mapped a loss cluster: nine CCR projects where patience has not paid off. That article left a question hanging. 💡So what's a safe entry price for properties in the CCR? This article attempts to build that formula. It partly works. What emerges is something more

Sims Urban Oasis Has a 97.5% Win Rate. The Typical Profit Is $57,000 Below What Sellers a Few Streets Away Have Been Banking.

97.5% of sellers at Sims Urban Oasis (Sims Drive, Geylang, D14) walked away with a profit. Across 122 resale transactions, only 3 ended in a loss. That is one of the higher win rates in RCR — better than Normanton Park (90.9%) and Avenue South Residence (94.2%), and

Favourable Entry Prices And Genuine Demand For Private Homes In OCR Make Them An Obvious Choice For Singaporeans, But Which OCR District Had The Best Returns?

Most people already know that OCR (Outside Central Region) condos consistently deliver in terms of returns. They might not have the prestigious D10 address but their return on investment more than make up for it and after digging into transaction data for the past two years (July 2024 to May

Most CCR Properties Suffer From Stagnant Growth Even After Long Holding Periods, These Projects Were The Exception

The argument goes like this: buy in a prime location, hold long enough, and the premium pays off. The data from 341 Treasure at Tampines transactions, 163 Riverfront Residences exits, and 89 The Sail @ Marina Bay sales tells a different story. OCR condo owners who sold in the period from

Projects located near MRT stations usually command a premium and the logic makes sense, but what does the math actually say?

Buyers who paid $600–$800 per sqft more to live beside an MRT station in Singapore's OCR earned annualised resale returns of 0.7%–3.4%. Buyers who paid less and lived 20–28 minutes from the nearest station earned 1.5%–5.7%. Across 17 projects and

You Are 97% Safe From Loss After 4 Years. How Much You Make Was Decided the Day You Bought.

Most condo owners assume patience does two things at once: it reduces the chance you lose money, and it grows the profit. The first part is true. The second part is more complicated than it looks. Win rate among Singapore resale condo sellers reaches 97% after just four years and

Singapore's Most Expensive Planning Area Is Also Its Worst for Condo Resale Profits

Singapore's priciest planning area is also its worst-performing one for condo resale profits — and it isn't close. The table below ranks 14 planning areas by average seller profit, drawn from 25,271 resale transactions across 1,295 projects between Q3 2024 and Q2 2026. Downtown