Lucas Lim — Singapore Condo Data & Resale Analysis

Sign in Subscribe

Topic

private resale

A collection of 18 issues

Every district in Singapore ranked from First to Last (By Avg Return %)

Within the real estate agent community, there is a common saying that CCR properties cannot buy and that OCR properties are the way to go for most Singaporeans and the truth is that you don't need to commission a research or be a rocket scientist to know that

Sims Urban Oasis Has a 97.5% Win Rate. The Typical Profit Is $57,000 Below What Sellers a Few Streets Away Have Been Banking.

97.5% of sellers at Sims Urban Oasis (Sims Drive, Geylang, D14) walked away with a profit. Across 122 resale transactions, only 3 ended in a loss. That is one of the higher win rates in RCR — better than Normanton Park (90.9%) and Avenue South Residence (94.2%), and

You Are Already at the Sweet Spot. Two to Four Years Produces a 97% Win Rate — and Waiting Another Decade Does Not Make You Safer.

Most condo owners have been told some version of the same thing: hold long enough and you will be fine. The assumption behind that advice is that patience compounds safety — that 15 years is safer than 5, and 20 years is safer than 15. The data across 25,271 resale

Projects located near MRT stations usually command a premium and the logic makes sense, but what does the math actually say?

Buyers who paid $600–$800 per sqft more to live beside an MRT station in Singapore's OCR earned annualised resale returns of 0.7%–3.4%. Buyers who paid less and lived 20–28 minutes from the nearest station earned 1.5%–5.7%. Across 17 projects and

You Bought the 2-Bedroom Because It Was the Smarter Exit. The Data Disagrees.

Most buyers who choose a 2-bedroom condo in an OCR estate have a version of the same reasoning: smaller unit, lower entry price, easier to rent, easier to exit. The logic feels airtight. The data, across five tested projects, suggests it may not be. In four of those five

The Headline Said 60%. The Number That Matters to You Is Closer to 200%.

The typical seller at The Minton (Hougang Ave 8, about a 10-minute walk from Kovan MRT) booked a profit of around $631,000 on a unit they bought for roughly $1.03 million. The headline you would have read called that a 60% gain. That number is correct. It

The 3-Bedders at Stirling Residences Cost More Per Sqft Than the 1-Bedders. The Data Points to One Explanation — but Cannot Prove It.

Two units in the same 40-storey building. Same address on Stirling Road. Same 99-year lease. Six-minute walk to Queenstown MRT for both. And yet the price per sqft between the cheapest and most expensive transaction at Stirling Residences between April and mid-May 2026 is $474 apart.

Patience Paid Off for 97% of Condo Sellers. These 9 Projects Are the Exception — and They Are All in CCR.

A seller at Marina Collection held their unit for 15 years and lost $2.4 million. Not on paper. At the point of sale, with a buyer, a contract, and a final cheque. That is not a fluke. Across 25,271 resale condo transactions from 1,295 projects over the

The Three Projects That Lost the Most Money Were All Large Developments. The Riskiest Condo Is Not What You Have Been Told.

A 265-unit leasehold condo in Geylang posted a 100% win rate across 31 resale transactions. Meanwhile, a 1,042-unit development in the heart of the city returned a 3.6% win rate — meaning 96 out of every 100 sellers lost money. The small project is in District 14.

The Market Is Up 28%. These CCR Buyers Are Still Losing Money After 13 Years.

The URA index hit 210.8 in the first quarter of 2026 — its highest point ever, roughly 28 to 35% above where it sat during the CCR market peak of 2013 to 2015. By any standard reading of the market, owners who bought at that peak should be close to