Every district in Singapore ranked from First to Last (By Avg Return %)

Within the real estate agent community, there is a common saying that CCR properties cannot buy and that OCR properties are the way to go for most Singaporeans and the truth is that you don't need to commission a research or be a rocket scientist to know that that statement has truth to it.

At the end of the day, OCR encompasses many neighbourhoods and exactly which OCR neighbourhood takes the crown and by how much?

Here's what I found:


Every District, Ranked

Rank District Main Area(s) Region Txns Projects Avg Profit Avg Return Win Rate
1D26Ang Mo Kio / YishunOCR14310$704,45474.5%100.0%
2D22Jurong West / Jurong EastOCR71819$557,20469.2%99.9%
3D21Bukit Timah / Bukit Panjang / Bukit BatokRCR / OCR75546$705,71863.5%99.6%
4D23Choa Chu Kang / Bukit Batok / Bukit PanjangOCR / RCR1,67752$497,27461.3%99.6%
5D20Bishan / Ang Mo Kio / Toa PayohRCR / OCR84030$661,53160.3%99.9%
6D25WoodlandsOCR59814$428,64456.8%99.8%
7D19Hougang / Sengkang / PunggolOCR / RCR3,781124$531,56856.0%99.3%
8D15Bedok / Marine Parade / KallangRCR / OCR1,558168$700,21155.3%98.3%
9D27Yishun / Sembawang / MandaiOCR1,28931$473,47254.9%99.5%
10D16Bedok / TampinesOCR1,20955$526,95152.1%98.0%
11D18Tampines / Pasir RisOCR2,23740$463,04649.7%99.9%
12D11Novena / Bukit Timah / Toa PayohCCR55973$737,97747.6%93.7%
13D28Sengkang / Serangoon / Ang Mo KioOCR73717$448,19644.3%99.1%
14D5Clementi / QueenstownOCR / RCR1,24756$483,79842.2%98.5%
15D17Pasir RisOCR53121$354,07040.7%98.9%
16D12Kallang / Novena / Toa PayohRCR59058$424,62339.4%98.1%
17D14Geylang / Bedok / KallangRCR / OCR1,11286$403,51838.5%98.2%
18D8Kallang / RochorRCR27132$385,50837.8%95.2%
19D10Tanglin / Bukit Timah / OrchardCCR1,333149$752,63136.8%93.6%
20D13Toa Payoh / Serangoon / GeylangRCR / OCR57224$401,95032.6%98.4%
21D3Bukit Merah / Queenstown / Singapore RiverRCR1,10528$418,78732.1%96.9%
22D9River Valley / Newton / RochorCCR1,098106$467,04726.5%81.3%
23D7Downtown Core / Kallang / RochorCCR / RCR19811$225,04822.7%87.9%
24D4Bukit Merah / Southern IslandsRCR / CCR51620$201,45618.9%76.6%
25D2Downtown Core / Bukit Merah / OutramCCR / RCR27116$140,43716.2%80.8%
26D1Downtown Core / Singapore River / OutramCCR / RCR32110-$44,2995.4%46.1%
27D6Downtown CoreCCR51$379,6005.1%100.0%

Here are the projects with the absolute best returns looked like (without filtering for recency)

Rank Project District Area Region Txns Avg Size Avg Purchase Price Avg Selling Price Avg Profit Avg Return Avg Holding Period
1The WindsorD20BishanRCR151,793 sqft$1,111,067$2,849,993$1,738,926181.3%20.6 yrs
2Botanic Gardens ViewD10TanglinCCR111,453 sqft$1,606,845$3,462,436$1,855,591180.4%16.6 yrs
3Bishan LoftD20BishanRCR171,399 sqft$1,071,121$2,316,852$1,245,730172.2%16.0 yrs
4The DewD23Bukit BatokOCR51,318 sqft$629,000$1,526,320$897,320164.0%19.7 yrs
5Ocean ParkD15BedokOCR112,224 sqft$2,189,364$4,235,727$2,046,364159.4%16.9 yrs
6Cashew Heights CondominiumD23Bukit PanjangOCR91,562 sqft$1,162,333$2,467,764$1,305,431152.3%14.5 yrs
7Goldenhill Park CondominiumD20SerangoonOCR111,351 sqft$1,410,491$3,065,818$1,655,327150.3%17.6 yrs
8ParkshoreD15KallangRCR81,644 sqft$1,621,875$3,398,750$1,776,875143.1%17.4 yrs
9The Dairy FarmD23Bukit PanjangOCR141,728 sqft$1,386,786$2,799,063$1,412,278143.1%16.9 yrs
10Parc PalaisD21Bukit BatokOCR211,531 sqft$1,120,662$2,504,614$1,383,952141.8%20.3 yrs

This table is useful, but it should not be read as a simple “buy these projects” list because the top performers here are mostly long-hold winners. Many were bought 15 to 20 years ago, at purchase prices that are no longer available in 2026.

That matters because the lesson is not simply that these projects are magic. The lesson is that strong resale outcomes often came from a combination of large unit sizes, lower historical entry prices, and long holding periods.

In other words, this table tells us what worked for past buyers. It does not automatically tell us what to look out for today.

To make that visible, the table includes average purchase price, average selling price, average profit, average return, and average holding period. The holding period is especially important: if a project produced a 150% return over 17 years, that is very different from producing the same return over five years.

After filtering for recency

Rank Project TOP District Area Region Txns Avg Size Avg Purchase Avg Sale Avg Profit Avg Return Avg Holding Period Win Rate
1Parc Esta2022D14GeylangRCR236765 sqft$1,297,436$1,761,606$464,17033.6%5.5 yrs100.0%
2Parc Clematis2023D5ClementiOCR101851 sqft$1,423,871$1,892,577$468,70632.1%5.0 yrs99.0%
3Jadescape2022D20BishanRCR176913 sqft$1,559,026$2,101,948$542,92231.4%5.2 yrs100.0%
4Whistler Grand2022D5ClementiOCR119752 sqft$1,093,904$1,442,140$348,23629.5%5.4 yrs100.0%
5Riverfront Residences2023D19HougangOCR163794 sqft$1,050,668$1,378,491$327,82329.0%5.9 yrs100.0%
6Twin Vew2021D5ClementiOCR56917 sqft$1,315,786$1,710,841$395,05528.9%6.1 yrs100.0%
7Seaside Residences2021D15BedokOCR77773 sqft$1,396,495$1,816,998$420,50328.4%6.9 yrs98.7%
8Stirling Residences2022D3QueenstownRCR211702 sqft$1,304,887$1,681,669$376,78227.6%5.7 yrs99.5%
9Treasure At Tampines2023D18TampinesOCR341890 sqft$1,220,975$1,566,628$345,65327.2%4.7 yrs99.7%
10Park Colonial2021D13Toa PayohRCR108768 sqft$1,376,823$1,771,772$394,94926.4%5.9 yrs100.0%

The point of this table is not that every recent launch made money equally. It is that the better-performing recent-cycle projects cleared a surprisingly high bar within a relatively short holding period. Most of them were held for about five to six years, not 15 to 20 years, and still produced average profits in the mid-six figures.

By contrast, the bottom three districts in the overall ranking averaged just $139,597 in project-level profit and a 17.1% return, despite an average holding period of 10.4 years. The recent-cycle top projects did materially better in roughly half the time: even the lowest-ranked project in that top 10, Park Colonial, averaged $394,949 profit and a 26.4% return over 5.9 years.

And that is still the softened version of the picture. Averages make the bottom end look more orderly than it really is. Once you zoom into individual projects, the numbers get ugly very quickly: the weak districts are not just producing lower gains, they contain projects where sellers waited years and still walked away with little profit, flat returns, or outright losses.

So...what gives?

The answer is not simply “buy the cheapest PSF”.

That would be too crude. In fact, some of the strongest recent-cycle winners were not bought below their nearby resale market. Buyers paid a premium. The important question is whether that premium made sense, and whether future resale buyers were willing to defend it.

This is where good entry matters.

Metric Parc Esta Nearby 2km Comps Difference
Entry PSF $1,718 $1,420 +$297
Exit PSF $2,284 $1,780 +$503
Premium Change +$206
Avg Return 33.6% 27.1% +6.5 pts

Parc Esta buyers were not buying the cheapest thing around Eunos/Geylang. They entered at about $297 psf above the nearby resale market.

But when those units later resold, the gap had widened to about $503 psf.

That is what the “premium change” row is showing.

At entry, Parc Esta was about $297 psf more expensive than the nearby comparison set. By resale, it was about $503 psf more expensive than that same comparison set.

So the premium did not shrink. It expanded by about $206 psf.

In simple terms: buyers did not just make money because the whole area rose. Parc Esta also moved further ahead of the nearby resale market. That does not tell us exactly why buyers were willing to pay more for it, but it does show that the resale market did not reject the launch premium.

It's the same thing at Jadescape.

Metric Jadescape Nearby 2km Comps Difference
Entry PSF $1,732 $1,419 +$313
Exit PSF $2,267 $1,810 +$457
Premium Change +$144
Avg Return 31.4% 29.1% +2.3 pts

Its entry price was also above nearby resale stock: about $313 psf higher than the 2km comparable set. But by exit, that premium had expanded to around $457 psf.

Again, the market did not punish the premium. It accepted it.

That is what separates a strong entry from an expensive one. A weak entry is not just paying a high PSF. A weak entry is paying a premium that future buyers refuse to recognise. A strong entry is paying a premium that the resale market can still defend later.

Across the wider recent-cycle sample, the same pattern shows up more clearly:

Cohort Avg Return Premium At Entry Premium At Resale What Happened?
Top 10 Recent Winners 29.4% +$212 psf +$307 psf Expanded by $95 psf
Middle 10 12.9% +$407 psf +$310 psf Compressed by $97 psf
Bottom 10 5.8% +$565 psf +$362 psf Compressed by $202 psf

The bottom 10 still resold above their nearby comparison set, but the gap narrowed.

They entered at an average premium of about $565 psf, and exited at about $362 psf. That means the premium compressed by roughly $202 psf. In plain English: later buyers still paid more for these projects than nearby alternatives, but not as much more as the original buyers had paid.

But there is another finding hiding inside the same numbers.

The nearby resale market was not exactly left behind.

Parc Esta did better than its nearby resale comparison set: 33.6% versus 27.1%. Jadescape also came out ahead: 31.4% versus 29.1%. But the gap was not so wide that resale looked like a poor alternative. In both cases, nearby resale still produced strong returns.

And in some parts of the recent-cycle sample, resale kept up even more closely. Around Whistler Grand, the project averaged a 29.5% return, while the nearby resale comparison set averaged 29.3%. Around Twin Vew, the nearby resale set actually edged ahead: 29.6% versus Twin Vew’s 28.9%.

That does not mean resale is automatically better. It means the lazy version of the new-launch story is incomplete.

The evidence does not say: buy new launch and avoid resale.

It says: good entry matters. Sometimes that good entry was a new launch. Sometimes it may have been a resale unit bought well, especially if the buyer had room to negotiate, avoid compromised layouts, and enter below what the surrounding market would later accept.

So the real question is not just “which districts performed best?”

The better question is: when a district starts moving, who captures more of the upside — the new-launch buyer, or the resale buyer who entered well?

That is the next piece worth digging into.

Subscribe to Lucas Lim — Singapore Condo Data & Resale Analysis

Don’t miss out on the latest issues. Sign up now to get access to the library of members-only issues.
jamie@example.com
Subscribe